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Crude Oil Price Slips Below $60.10 as Market Awaits Inventory Data and Geopolitical Clarity

Crude oil prices weakened in early Thursday trade, with WTI Futures (May 2025 contract) falling 0.45% to $60.01, amid continued concerns over demand recovery, geopolitical uncertainties, and technical resistance near $60.50–61.00.

Despite attempts to reclaim momentum during the early session, prices failed to hold above the $60.20 zone, slipping back into the lower range of the week.


Crude Oil WTI Futures Snapshot – 11 April 2025 (Live)

MetricValue
Last Price$60.01
Change-$0.27 (-0.45%)
Day’s Range$59.98 – $60.27
52-Week Range$55.12 – $86.97
Time of Data04:37 UTC

Intraday Action: Resistance Holds Near $60.20

At 1:56 AM UTC, WTI briefly traded as high as $60.21 before reversing lower. The narrow range, low volume, and failure to break past resistance suggest that technical selling and profit booking dominated short-term trade.

  • Open: $60.21
  • High: $60.21
  • Low: $60.18
  • Close (Recent Tick): $60.19
  • Volume: 0 (low participation observed in this phase)

What’s Driving the Pullback in Oil?

  1. Weak Global Demand Signals:
    Slower-than-expected growth projections from the IMF and China’s muted energy consumption have dampened bullish momentum.
  2. Geopolitical Calm:
    While tensions persist in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, no immediate supply disruptions have emerged to trigger risk premium spikes.
  3. U.S. Inventories in Focus:
    Traders are awaiting the latest EIA crude inventory data later today, with forecasts suggesting a slight build. Any surprise increase could pressure prices further.
  4. Dollar Strength:
    The U.S. Dollar Index held firm, reducing attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets like oil for foreign buyers.

Technical Levels to Watch

Level TypePrice Level
Immediate Support$59.80
Breakdown Risk$59.50
Immediate Resistance$60.60
Bullish Breakout Level$61.30

If WTI falls below $59.80, selling pressure may intensify. On the flip side, a reclaim above $60.60–61.00 could reintroduce bullish interest.


Outlook: Oil Faces Tight Range, Awaiting Catalyst

Despite recent softness, analysts remain divided:

“Crude is in consolidation mode. Without a clear catalyst — like a supply disruption or a major inventory draw — prices are likely to remain rangebound,” said Rebecca Lin, Senior Commodities Analyst at ING.

“Watch the $59.80 support zone. A break below that could invite more short-term traders to sell the bounce,” added David Horowitz, Technical Strategist at Bloomberg Energy.


Cautious Sentiment Ahead of Inventory & Macro Events

While the crude oil price continues to hover above $60, sentiment remains tentative. The market appears to be waiting for confirmation — either in the form of demand-side recovery or supply-side disruptions — before committing to any strong directional trend.

Until then, expect continued sideways movement, with intraday volatility driven by dollar dynamics, inventory figures, and geopolitical signals.


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