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Shanghai Composite Index Likely to Open Flat as Global Market Volatility Caps Momentum

After a modest gain on April 21, the Shanghai Composite Index is set for a subdued open on April 22, tracking global sell-off led by U.S. tech.

Shanghai Composite Index Forecast April 22: Global Sell-Off Caps Momentum | Today’s China Market Outlook

Shanghai Composite Index is expected to open flat to slightly lower on April 22, 2025, after a positive close in the previous session. Traders are now shifting focus to global macro pressures and weaker U.S. handover, which may temper investor appetite at the start of China’s trading day.


Previous Close: Shanghai Composite Gains 0.45%

The SSE index ended April 21 at 3,291.43, up 0.45%, buoyed by gains in energy, insurance, and state-linked sectors. The market traded within a narrow range, showing underlying resilience despite global headwinds.

IndexApril 21 CloseChange (%)
Shanghai Composite3,291.43▲ +0.45%

The positive finish came amid improving domestic confidence and state fund activity, although risks remain heading into today’s session.


U.S. Indices Fall Sharply, Weighing on Asia

Major Wall Street indices plummeted on April 21, as risk aversion returned across asset classes:

U.S. IndexClosing Value% Change
Dow Jones38,170.41▼ -2.5%
S&P 5005,158.20▼ -2.4%
Nasdaq Composite15,870.90▼ -2.6%

The sell-off was driven by concerns over Federal Reserve independence, re-escalated trade tensions, and potential delays in rate cuts.


Global Indices Comparison: Divergence Across Asia

Global IndexApril 21 Close% Change
Nikkei 22534,279.92▼ -1.3%
Hang Seng Index21,395.14▲ +1.61%
Kospi2,488.42▲ +0.20%
Taiex19,106.20▼ -1.49%
DAX (Germany)21,205.86▼ -0.52%
FTSE 100 (UK)8,275.66▬ 0.00%

The Shanghai stock market showed relative strength on Monday, but today’s open may reflect caution amid global divergence and U.S. weakness.


Sectoral Outlook: SSE Focus Areas

Expect mixed action across Shanghai Composite today as sectors react to global trends and domestic drivers:

  • Technology: May face pressure mirroring Nasdaq’s fall.
  • Energy & Utilities: Potential support from continued state buying.
  • Financials: Insurance and banks likely rangebound amid macro crosswinds.
  • Exporters: Currency sensitivity and weak external demand may limit upside.

What’s Driving Today’s Sentiment?

Key factors shaping the SSE’s April 22 session:

  1. U.S. Market Volatility: The Nasdaq’s 2.6% drop could weigh on China’s tech-heavy peers.
  2. Macroeconomic Watch: Investors are cautious ahead of PMI data and trade balance figures.
  3. No Major Stimulus Headlines: Lack of policy cues may limit upside momentum.
  4. Currency and Commodities: A stable yuan and higher crude may influence select sectors.

How the Index Could Move Next

The Shanghai Composite Index could open near its previous close, with early direction hinging on institutional activity and foreign fund flows. Key support lies at 3,270, while 3,310 acts as a near-term resistance. Watch for volume confirmation by mid-session to assess follow-through strength.

Investors are also advised to monitor sentiment shifts linked to U.S. futures and China’s upcoming economic reports.


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