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ASX 200 Slips Slightly Amid Global Tensions: What to Expect Today – April 17 Prediction

After a flat close with a minor dip, the ASX 200 may see subdued opening cues today. The steep Nasdaq fall and weak Asian peers are likely to weigh on Australian stocks.

The S&P/ASX 200 closed slightly lower on April 16, slipping 2.80 points or 0.036% to end at 7,758.90. Though the dip seems minor, broader global factors indicate that the Australian equity market could open with heightened caution on April 17.

ASX 200 Closing Snapshot – April 16

  • Close: 7,758.90 (down 0.036%)
  • Open: 7,761.70
  • Day Range: 7,747.50 to 7,791.40
  • 52-Week Range: 7,169.20 to 8,615.20

The day’s trade was lacklustre, reflecting investor indecisiveness as they awaited clearer global cues. Mining and financials saw mixed action, while healthcare and energy sectors remained stable.

Nasdaq Meltdown Sends Shockwaves Across Markets

The Nasdaq Composite’s collapse by 516.01 points (-3.07%) has set the stage for a risk-off sentiment globally. This sharp correction in U.S. tech stocks has historically translated to weakness in the Australian tech and growth-driven counters.

Asian Peers Follow Suit

Other Asian indices mirrored Nasdaq’s weakness:

  • Nikkei 225: Fell 347.14 points (-1.01%) to 33,920.40
  • KOSPI: Dropped 29.98 points (-1.21%) to 2,447.43
  • TAIEX: Lost 253.95 points (-1.28%) to close at 19,603.72

The Hang Seng Index opened sharply lower today, trading down 149.81 points (-0.70%) at 21,316.47. These negative cues from Asia will likely influence ASX’s morning session.

Technical Analysis

  • Immediate Support: 7,740
  • Resistance Levels: 7,780 and 7,800
  • RSI: Trending near 50, indicating neutral momentum
  • MACD: Slight bearish crossover detected

While the index has shown resilience over the past few sessions, a failure to hold above the 7,740 support may trigger a deeper intraday correction.

Economic Factors to Watch

  • Iron ore prices, a crucial driver for mining stocks
  • Australian Dollar’s strength against the U.S. Dollar
  • RBA rate hike commentary and inflation updates

What to Expect Today – April 17

The ASX 200 is expected to:

  • Open flat or slightly lower, following global trends
  • See pressure on tech and materials stocks
  • Possibly witness defensive sector rotation into healthcare and consumer staples

Sectoral Focus

  • Tech: Likely to face selling pressure tracking Nasdaq
  • Mining: Could see weakness if iron ore prices falter
  • Financials: Expected to trade mixed as bond yields fluctuate
  • Energy: Watch oil price movement for cues

Final Outlook

April 17 may not bring major directional moves for the ASX 200, but volatility is expected, especially in the first half. Global sentiment is weak, and unless local cues surprise positively, the index may struggle to climb meaningfully.

Investors are advised to exercise caution and track global developments, especially Nasdaq futures, before taking aggressive positions.


Disclaimer: This article is for educational and informational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.


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