The warming of the waters in the Pacific Ocean near South America, known as El Nino, is often associated with the weakening of monsoon winds and dry weather in India.
Southwest Monsoon Advances in Southeast Bay of Bengal, Nicobar Islands, and South Andaman Sea
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has reported that the southwest monsoon has advanced into parts of the southeast Bay of Bengal, Nicobar Islands, and South Andaman Sea. This advancement is a significant development for India’s farm economy as it marks the beginning of the four-month rainy season, crucial for agricultural activities.
Delayed Onset of Monsoon in Kerala
The weather office has announced that the onset of monsoon over Kerala, which indicates its entry into the mainland, is expected to be slightly delayed this year. Instead of the usual date of June 1, the monsoon is likely to arrive around June 4, with a model error of four days.
Further Advancement of Southwest Monsoon Expected
According to the India Meteorological Department, conditions are favorable for the southwest monsoon to further advance into additional parts of the south Bay of Bengal, Andaman Sea, and Andaman & Nicobar Islands over the next 3-4 days.
Importance of Monsoon for India’s Farm Economy
The monsoon season plays a crucial role in India’s farm economy. Agriculture contributes significantly to the country’s economy, and a good monsoon helps recharge aquifers, reservoirs, and provides much-needed water for farming activities.
Impact of El Nino on Monsoon Rainfall
The emergence of the El Nino weather pattern raises concerns about monsoon rainfall in India. El Nino conditions, characterized by the warming of the Pacific Ocean near South America, are generally associated with the weakening of monsoon winds and dry weather in the country. This year’s El Nino conditions follow three consecutive La Nina years, which typically bring good rainfall during the monsoon season.
The advancement of the monsoon in the Andaman Sea, Nicobar Islands, and parts of the Bay of Bengal is an important development for India’s agricultural sector. The onset of monsoon over Kerala is expected to be slightly delayed, and further advancement of the southwest monsoon is anticipated in the coming days.
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