The report, co-authored by former economic advisor Arvind Subremanian, from the Washington-based Center for Global Development, included deaths from all causes since the beginning of the pandemic until June.
This official report with over 414,000 deaths is the third highest in the world after the US and Brazil. However, it is also the case that experts are increasingly called upon to rigorously audit fatalities nationally.
Official data show that in April and May the devastating infection, driven largely by the more infectious and dangerous delta variants, overwhelmed the healthcare system and killed at least 170,000 people alone in May.
‘Tragically, too many people may have died, not hundreds of 000, in millions,’ the report says, estimating excess mortality between 3.4 million to 4.9 million during the pandemic.
But not all excess deaths were attributed to the pandemic. “We focus on the all-cause death rate and estimate the excess death rate compared to a pre-pandemic baseline and seasonality adjustments,” said the authors.
The Health Ministry did not reply to an e-mail requested by Reuters. Excess deaths have been said by some experts to measure the actual COVID-19 payment.
The World Health Organization chief scientist Soumya Swaminathan told us on Twitter, “To capture excess mortality in every country – the only way of preparing the health care system for future shocks and preventing future deaths.”
The New York Times said that 600,000 of India’s most prudent death estimates were, and several times, the worst scenario. These figures were rejected by the government.
The fact that two thirds of India’s population of nearly 1,4 billion and numerous deaths at home without testing are largely the responsibility of health experts for their undercounting in the vast hinterland home.
The country reports a decline in daily infections from a peak of May, with the lowest daily infections in 4 months in Tuesday’s 30,093 new cases.
The government of PM Narendra Modi was also criticised for a messy campaign for vaccination which many believe helped make the second wave of infections worse.
On average, less than four million daily doses were administered in July, down from 9,2 million on July 21, when PM Modi launchered an all-950 million free campaign